Studying the macroeconomic impact of lockdown measures, Neha Bairoliya and Ayse Imrohoroglu find that mitigation efforts targeted towards certain age and health groups result in significantly smaller economic disruptions compared to an indiscriminate lockdown.
Combining epidemiology with economic models, Simon Loertscher and Ellen V. Muir determine the minimum degree of lockdown that assures that the maximum capacity of the health care system is not exceeded while a certain amount of social and economic liberty is preserved.
On this important topic, Nikolaj Broberg points us to a paper that examines the news coverage of the Corona pandemic in the two US cable news shows Hannity and Tucker Carlson Tonight (Fox).
The Subways Seeded the Massive Coronavirus Epidemic in New York City
Jeffrey E. Harris #27021
Economic Policy Incentives to Preserve Lives and Livelihoods
Roberto Chang and Andrés Velasco #27020
Lock-downs, Loneliness and Life Satisfaction
Daniel S. Hamermesh #27018
Covid-19: Testing Inequality in New York City
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, Ken Teoh, and Martín Uribe #27019
Did California’s Shelter-in-Place Order Work? Early Coronavirus-Related Public Health Benefits
Andrew I. Friedson, Drew McNichols, Joseph J. Sabia, and Dhaval Dave #26992
Risk Perception Through the Lens of Politics in the Time of the COVID-19 Pandemic
John M. Barrios and Yael Hochberg #27008
Estimating the COVID-19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem
Charles F. Manski and Francesca Molinari #27023
Covid-19 Infection Externalities: Trading Off Lives vs. Livelihoods
Zachary A. Bethune and Anton Korinek #27009
Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27017
Policy Implications of Models of the Spread of Coronavirus: Perspectives and Opportunities for Economists
Christopher Avery, William Bossert, Adam Clark, Glenn Ellison, and Sara Fisher Ellison #27007
Bendavid et al report the results of a “representative sample” recruited from Facebook of anti-body testing.
Carvalho et al in “Tracking the COVID-19 crisis with high resolution transaction data” find a nearly 50% decline in activity after the lockdown and about a 50% increase in the share of online sales. In the days before the lockdown there was about a 20% increase in sales – presumably due to stockpiling.
Looking for a viable exit strategy Jan-Tino Brethouwer, Arnout van de Rijt et al. simulate a scenario in which the lockdown is partially lifted while long-range transmissions of the contagion are strictly prevented. Such strategy, their results show, can limit significantly the spread of a second wave. First public resonance here. Bloomberg reported on these findings on 24 April.
The Geographic Spread of COVID-19 Correlates with Structure of Social Networks as Measured by Facebook
Theresa Kuchler, Dominic Russel, Johannes Stroebel
Firm-level Exposure to Epidemic Diseases: Covid-19, SARS, and H1N1
Tarek Alexander Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Laurence van Lent, Ahmed Tahoun
How Deadly Is COVID-19? Understanding The Difficulties With Estimation Of Its Fatality Rate
Polarization and Public Health: Partisan Differences in Social Distancing during the Coronavirus Pandemic
Hunt Allcott, Levi Boxell, Jacob C. Conway, Matthew Gentzkow, Michael Thaler, David Y. Yang
Social Distancing, Internet Access and Inequality
Lesley Chiou, Catherine Tucker
A Simple Planning Problem for COVID-19 Lockdown
Fernando E. Alvarez, David Argente, Francesco Lippi
How Are Small Businesses Adjusting to COVID-19? Early Evidence from a Survey
Alexander W. Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, Christopher T. Stanton
Covid19 and the Macroeconomic Effects of Costly Disasters
Sydney C. Ludvigson, Sai Ma, Serena Ng
COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty
Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Stephen J. Terry
Demographic Determinants of Testing Incidence and COVID-19 Infections in New York City Neighborhoods
George J. Borjas
Measures of social distancing and reducing contacts need to be implemented robustly and evenly, write Alessio Muscillo and Paolo Pin, otherwise such policies may have adverse effects.